British Academy: The UK's National Academy for the Humanities and Social Sciences
THE BRITISH ACADEMY LECTURE
What Fates Impose: Facing Up To Uncertainty
Professor Mervyn King FBA, Governor of the Bank of England
Wednesday 1 December 2004, 5.30pm
Risk, luck, fate, uncertainty, probability theory – all remind us that most decisions in life involve risk. We accept that lady luck has her part to play in our personal lives. But in our collective life the role of probabilities only rarely takes centre stage. Yet it is difficult to imagine an informed and useful discussion of most public policy issues without a careful analysis of the risks involved. This lecture discusses why it has proved difficult in collective decisions to understand, explain and manage risk. It takes as an example the current debate on pension provision in the United Kingdom.